The Minister of Police has not been able to show that no discrimination exists. First, the analytical evidence of Redpath and the data presented shows that police stations that serve poor, Black areas have the lowest police to population ratios, relatively speaking, as compared to wealthier, rich areas which are predominantly White. This is not an adoption of a technical numbers game. Context shows that the poor, Black areas also have the highest rates of contact and violent crime. Whilst, one cannot ignore other crimes, such as theft which appear to occur in greater numbers in commercial areas such as the CBD, it cannot be disputed that contact crime is more prevalent in poor and Black areas.
It is clear that the lawyers for Intelligence Minister Ronnie Kasrils and President Mbeki, made a series of monumental blunders in handling the suspension and dismissal of Masethla. It is not, however, a foregone conclusion that the Court would find against the President because the judges might see his power to fire the head of the Intelligence Services as such a political decision that the President should be given a wide margin of appreciation in such a matter.
What intrigues me though, is why Mr. Masethla (pictured) has chosen to go all the way to the
This suggests that Mr. Masethla is not taking this case all the way to the
First, it would, of course, be extremely embarrassing for the President if the
Such a finding would have political repercussions as it would enhance the view (no matter how unfairly held) that President Mbeki has overstepped the mark in his long-standing battle with Mr. Jacob Zuma and others in the succession battle. You see, Mbeki’s critics would say, we told you our President does not play fair.
Second, it is interesting to note that Mr. Masethla’s lawyers strongly argue that in any event, the matter should be sent back to the High Court in order that oral evidence could be presented by, amongst others, President Mbeki, to make a determination on the factual disputes in the case. President Mbeki will then have to take the stand to give evidence on sensitive and embarrassing events around the firing of Mr. Masethla. He will also have to justify why he had fired Mr. Masethla and will have to submit himself to cross-examination.
Could it be that Mr. Masethla has some explosive information that could be put to Mbeki under cross-examination that would strike at the heart of Mbeki’s credibility? Or is Mr. Masethla hoping that Mr. Mbeki’s performance under cross-examination would be so disastrous that it would finally put an end to the President’s ambition to stand for a third term as President of the ANC? Mbeki has never been good under questioning and generally politicians make bad witnesses, so anything is possible. I, for one, would be fascinated to see how President Mbeki copes with cross-examination.
One thing is certain, this case is turning into one of the politically most significant cases ever heard by the